Online Learning for Time Series Prediction thumbnail
slide-image
Pause
Mute
Subtitles not available
Playback speed
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.25
1.5
1.75
2
Full screen

Online Learning for Time Series Prediction

Published on Aug 09, 20135869 Views

In this paper, we address the problem of predicting a time series using the ARMA (autoregressive moving average) model, under minimal assumptions on the noise terms. Using regret minimization techniqu

Related categories

Chapter list

Time Series Analysis00:00
Time Series00:28
Analysis and Forecasting01:11
ARMA model03:30
Predicting time series05:12
Our results06:49
Our results vs. previous results08:18
Online convex optimization11:12
Online gradient descent12:27
Online mirrored descent13:24
Using OCO?13:26
Estimating the noise14:21
Non-proper learning15:26
Main observation16:06
AR modeled by online convex optimization16:59
The algorithms17:27
Experiments - generated data18:10
Simulated data19:08
Real data19:42
More research20:08